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Action-focused card-and-combat design defines Hand of Fate, a 2015 game from Defiant Development. It has 10,644 Steam reviews with 89% positive sentiment, is tagged as very positive, and was self-published by its developer at an initial price of $19.99.
Overview
Hand of Fate is a 2015 Action game developed by Defiant Development and published by Defiant Development. On Steam it has gathered 10,645 player reviews, 89% of them positive, which counts as a very positive reception among indie titles in the Action category. The game is available on linux, mac, windows, and launched at $20. The pairing of developer Defiant Development with publisher Defiant Development is one of the studio-publisher relationships indielist tracks, letting players find comparable games and letting developers and investors study how Action projects reach the market. indielist's white-box method estimates its lifetime sales at roughly 575,000 to 1.3 million units, with the full Boxleiter factor breakdown shown on this page rather than a single black-box figure. Within indielist's catalog of indie games mapped to their studios, publishers, and funding, Hand of Fate can be compared against similar Action titles and benchmarked on review counts and estimated sales.
Reviews
10,645
Positive
89%
Steam appid
266510
Engine
Unknown
Sales estimate
vv1.0575K to 1.3M
units (median: 958K)
≈ $6.6M to $15.3M net revenue (Steam cut + refunds + regional discount applied)
+ - How is this calculated?
| Factor | Adjustment |
|---|---|
| base | +50 |
| year_2015 | +30 |
| price_$20 | 0 |
| positive_89% | +10 |
| final NB | 90 |
Confidence range: median × [0.6, 1.4]. Boundary protection: NB ∈ [15, 150].
Methodology & limitations
Sales estimates use a multi-factor Boxleiter method against public Steam review counts.
They are not authoritative sales data. Actual sales can deviate by
±50% in either direction. Free-to-play games, deeply discounted titles, and games
with heavy bundle distribution have larger error margins. Algorithm version
v1.0.
indielist estimates lifetime unit sales for Hand of Fate at roughly 575,000 to 1.3 million copies, with a median around 958,000, derived from its 10,645 Steam reviews using a multi-factor Boxleiter method (version v1.0). That median maps to approximately $10.9M in net revenue after Steam's 30% cut, regional pricing, and refunds. Unlike black-box trackers, the full calculation is shown on this page: a base review-to-sales multiplier is adjusted for release year, launch price, review sentiment, studio size, and genre, and every adjustment is listed so developers, publishers, and investors can audit exactly how the figure was reached. The range itself reflects genuine uncertainty — review-to-sales ratios vary widely between games — so indielist publishes a low, median, and high band rather than a false-precision single number, and treats free-to-play, heavily discounted, and bundle-distributed titles as having wider error margins still.
Price history
90d · low $12.55Over the last 90 days the price ranged from $12.55 to $19.99, averaging $18.87 across 3 discount windows, with a historical low of $12.55 on 2026-04-26.
Synthetic series for demo. Real ITAD price history loads after Day 3 ingest.
Where to buy
Affiliate disclosureLive prices from public feeds, cheapest first. Some are affiliate links — we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. Learn more.
Platforms
linuxmacwindows
Frequently asked questions
- How many copies has Hand of Fate sold?
- indielist estimates Hand of Fate has sold between 574,830 and 1,341,270 units (median 958,050), derived from its 10,645 Steam reviews with the white-box Boxleiter vv1.0 method. The full breakdown is shown on the page.
- Who developed Hand of Fate?
- Hand of Fate was developed by Defiant Development and published by Defiant Development.
- When was Hand of Fate released?
- Hand of Fate was released in 2015.
- How many reviews does Hand of Fate have on Steam?
- Hand of Fate has 10,645 Steam reviews, of which 89% are positive.
Ecosystem
indielist positions Hand of Fate within the Action segment so players can surface comparable titles by shared tags and genre rather than by storefront promotion. On the developer side, Defiant Development's other releases and Defiant Development's wider catalog are one click away, letting developers benchmark where Hand of Fate sits among a studio's body of work and how its publisher's portfolio performs. Because indielist maps studios, publishers, games, and funding into one connected graph, the same Hand of Fate page serves three audiences at once: players hunting their next Action game, developers studying how comparable projects were positioned and what they sold, and investors tracing which teams and labels are active in the space. A machine-readable markdown mirror of this page is published at the same path with a .md suffix for AI assistants, and its review, price, and sales-estimate figures are refreshed on a schedule rather than frozen at launch.